According to statistics, the price of exhaust gas treatment equipment during the recent severe smog episodes has significantly increased the excess return of the atmospheric management sector (based on the CSI 300). On the same day, the atmospheric plate has an average of 2% of the excess return, and there is an 5% excess return during the week. Comparing the excess returns of the atmospheric sector in the past six years, there has been a more pronounced increase in the market in the winter, and the environmental protection stock market may be in imminent danger.
According to the independent contribution document submitted by China, China's action target for 2030 is: CO2 emission peaks around 2030 and strives to reach its peak as soon as possible. CO2 emissions per unit of domestic GDP have fallen by 60% to 65% compared to 2005. Non-fossil energy share Raise to about 20%. The Paris agreement may cause China to increase its emission reduction efforts. Green and low-carbon industries such as energy conservation and environmental protection are expected to receive continued support from the policy.
Grasping the general direction of energy and industrial restructuring
Focus on automobile exhaust treatment, near-zero discharge equipment
According to relevant statistics and forecasts, the total investment of the environmental protection industry during the 12th Five-Year Plan period is estimated to be 5 trillion. Officials of the Ministry of Environmental Protection stated that the total investment during the “Thirteenth Five-Year Plan†period is estimated to be 17 trillion yuan, and the government will continue to increase its environmental protection.
So, which specific sectors will benefit from energy-saving emission reduction and environmental governance?
First, the general direction of environmental governance must be the adjustment of energy and industrial structure to the price of exhaust gas treatment equipment. The root cause of current pollution in China is mainly due to excessive dependence of the energy structure on fossil fuels represented by coal. The proportion of coal in primary energy consumption was about 64.2% in 2014, while in the world, this proportion is approximately 27%. The source of air pollution is inseparable from new energy sources, elimination of outdated production capacity, and the recent stimulation of new energy vehicle policies. Li-ion batteries and charging piles related to new energy vehicles are also based on this logic. The related concept stocks have already hinted in the recent exclusive research and development of the new energy automobile segment.
In addition, another important means of solving automobile pollution is automotive exhaust gas treatment. According to statistics, as of the end of last year, the number of motor vehicles in China reached 264 million, of which 154 million were autos. In the past five years, the proportion of automobiles in motor vehicles has rapidly increased from 43.88% to 58.62%. There are 35 cities in the country with more than one million cars, of which 10 are more than 2 million. Some analysis pointed out that automobile exhaust gas is an important source of air pollution, and harmful gases emitted account for more than 60% of the total air pollution. Under the pressure of environmental governance, the tail gas treatment market will usher in rapid development opportunities.
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