The heavy truck market returned to a stable development track in 2011, and the extraordinary growth is difficult to continue


In 2011, the sales volume of the domestic heavy truck market was normal. In 2010, the production and sales of more than one million vehicles were abnormally operating in the market. The heavy-duty truck market was leaps and bounds that year, mainly driven by the investment of 4 trillion yuan, and a large number of infrastructure projects such as railways and highways were under construction, causing heavy demand in the heavy-duty truck market and the extraordinary growth in sales volume. This is an abnormal situation under the unconventional circumstances. It is an unsustainable blowout growth, and the heavy truck market will gradually return to a stable development in 2011.

Under the stimulation of over 1 million heavy-duty trucks in 2010, most companies regard the market sales in 2011 as a normal development trend. They believe that the heavy-duty vehicle market in China has entered a period of high-speed development and have worked overtime to increase production. Some companies have increased their investment at any cost. Capacity. Various hot-headed measures have shown problems in less than a year. Since the second quarter of 2011, the sales volume has been declining month by month, the production capacity has been let down, and the economic efficiency of enterprises has been declining. What's even more frightening is that the sequelae it brings may take years to digest, and some companies may even have difficulty living.

Looking at the situation throughout the year, there are several trends worth noting. The "Road Safety Protection Regulations" was implemented on July 1, 2011, which has an impact on the sales volume and product mix of the automotive industry, especially heavy truck companies, and also has an impact on the freight market's traffic volume and freight price. Local governments have stepped up efforts to control overloading and overloading, which has a major constraint on the operation of trucks. At the same time, the issue of arbitrary charges for operating vehicles in various regions has not been constrained by the introduction of eight logistics companies, and the continuous increase in the cost of truck operations, coupled with the inflation factor, has further reduced the operating profits of transport companies, directly affecting the attendance rate of vehicles. In addition, despite the turbulence in the international situation, China’s heavy-duty auto exports still achieve good results.

Judging from the overall situation of the heavy truck industry, market concentration has not changed much in 2011. Dongfeng Commercial Vehicle, FAW Jiefang, CNHTC, Shaanxi Automobile, and Beiqi Foton are still in the first and second tiers. Newly-entered heavy truck companies have not seen much improvement. . From the perspective of the sales volume of market segments, the market situation in 2011 is exactly the same as in previous years. In the first half of the year, the sales volume was mainly tractors. In the second half of the year, the sales volume was mainly engineering vehicles, and the best-selling models were still Steyr platform products.

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